Samih Massoud Al-Hayat - 21/01/07//
The Human Development Report 2006, called: 'Beyond Scarcity: Power, Poverty and
the Global Water Crisis', issued last November, confirmed that access to safe,
low-cost water sources is a basic human right that governments should secure at
least 20 liters of clean water for all citizens a day and provide the same
quantity free of charge to the poor who cannot pay for such a quantity of
water.
The report called for a global plan of action under the G8, with a view to put
the problems of water and sanitation as a main item in the international
development agenda. It also called upon all the developing countries to prepare
national plans to push progress in the provision of water and sanitation
services, highlighting that these plans should define the ambitious goals with
allocations no less than 1% of the GDP of these countries, so that the current
public expenditure on water resources this year can be less than 0.5% of the
GDP.
The report also spoke of the importance of increasing the international annual
assistance allocated for water and sanitation by between $3.4 billion to $4
billion. It considered such assistance as an investment that has been delayed,
but has a positive effect on health, productivity and quality of life.
The report was presented when it was launched in Cape Town, South Africa, by the
Director General of the UN Development Program in a joint statement with the
Minister of Finance of the Republic of South Africa. He selected three
surprising passages from the report. The first does not recognize the existence
of a logical (financial, logistical or geographical) reason that prevents
providing the poor with clean water sufficient to meet the basic human needs.
The report emphasized that approximately one billion people do not have clean
water, and that 2.6 billion do not have hygienic drainage. The second passage
casts doubt on the validity of forecasts about the unavoidable 'future water
wars', and considered them exaggerated concerns. The third considered the
report a pilot study that refutes many 'myths' about trans-boundary water
conflicts and wars in the water stress areas.
Even though I appreciate the efforts made in this report, I did not find any
evidence that the global water crisis and conflicts over water are just a
'fairy tale'. Suffice it to recall in this regard the 4th World Water Forum,
held last March in the Mexican capital, with the participation of
representatives from 130 countries to discuss the water supply in poor nations
and the global water crisis in general. This Forum acknowledged the validity of
the expectations of 'future wars' over water resources. It also confirmed that
about 40% of the world's over six billion people only have access to small
quantities of water and do not have a sewage system, in addition to 1.1 billion
people without clean drinking water, leading to the deaths of over three million
people annually.
Participants of the Forum were also unanimous that the global water crisis is a
concrete reality, not a 'fairy tale', because the 'ghost of thirst' haunts the
majority of the Middle Eastern countries, including Pakistan as well as
sub-Saharan Africa. The report indicated inequality in consumption between
industrialized countries, where per capita water consumption ranges between 400
and 600 liters per day, and the poorest countries, where the per capital
consumption is less than 20 liters a day, taking into account the inequality
between these countries in terms of the potential required for access to safe
water.
This global crisis may be seen in light of the World Water Council (WWC)
reports. The WWC has been stressing the need to redouble financial investments
to face inequality in water distribution in the world. It has estimated that
the UN needs some $20-30 billion annually until 2015 to achieve one of the
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), which urge a reduction in the number of
those who do not have access to safe drinking water and sanitation structures
in developing countries.
The water crisis may also be seen in light of the many indications about the
seriousness of the water situation in the Arab World, because the Arab
countries have scarce water resources in terms of the average share of water
allocated for a cultivated area, the per capita share of water, or
inappropriate geographical distribution of these resources and the difficulty
of controlling and exploiting many of them.
It goes without saying that the Arab countries are among the poorest water
regions in the world, as they have only 1% of the global renewable water,
whereas some 5% of the world's population lives in this region. A report
presented by the Arab Council for Water to the 4th World Water Forum pointed
out that the available stock of per capita water consumption in the Middle East
and North Africa decreased from 4000 cubic meters in 1950 to slightly more than
1000 cubic meters currently, and is expected to drop to 577 cubic meters in the
region by 2050.
The Unified Arab Economic Report gives a more severe futuristic picture of the
water situation in the Arab World. It estimates that the per capita share of
water will decrease to 500 cubic meters in 2025 because of high population
growth rates and the decline of the amount of water taken by Arab countries
from common rivers, which represent half the amount of available water. The
same report also estimated the Arab water deficit needed for domestic food
production at 58 billion cubic meters per year and said that it is expected to
rise in 2030 to 378 billion cubic meters, which will negatively affect the
achievement of Arab food self-sufficiency.
The future of water in the Arab countries foreshadows a very dangerous
situation, not only because of the limited water resources, but because the
majority of water resources spring in non-Arab countries and the Arab countries
do not have full control of them. This definitely exacerbates the problems of
water and causes dangerous economic and political problems over the
distribution of water resources regionally, which may lead to conflicts and
wars in the future. It is to be noted that such conflicts have already emerged
in the past few years. Some of them were related to Arab-Israeli water
disputes, Israel's control of the resources of the Jordan River and its
withdrawal of large quantities of water from the Yarmouk River, in addition to
its control of more than two billion cubic meters of Arab water resources.
There are also some differences between Syria and Iraq with Turkey over the
Tigris and Euphrates basins. Turkey has large-scale and long-term projects to
make use of the Euphrates River water, in addition to differences between
Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia over the Nile River water.
Organizing the investment of the Arab limited water resources is the basis for
sustainable development, which requires strengthening Arab co-operation to
optimally utilize the available water resources and improve the use and
preservation of these resources.
* Mr. Massoud is an economics expert at the Canadian Center for Middle East
Studies
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